Hi Aubie:
Quote:
Originally Posted by aubie515
... the funds would need to be paid in advance before I ever place an order. ...
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Agreed, I really can't stock too much right now, especially at $150/M. Two, maybe three cases.
The other scenario I don't want is to buy & stock at 150/M, have the market fall out and find myself unable to sell without a loss. Eventually Iraq will die down, & Venezuela will start cranking out their own ammo. I can't imagine the prices rising any higher than they are now, unless our friends in Washington think we need more legal protection against ourselves. The probability of this will increase if Congress appoints a Democratic president in 2008, endangering imports. So, 2007 should be an interesting year.
Quote:
Originally Posted by aubie515
There is no such thing as cheap 7.62x39 anymore. The best we can hope to do is to get a discount to equal 2006 prices.
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To many variables...Iraq on the decline once Bush II vacates 1600 Penna Ave, Venezuela ammo production comes up online, things quieting down in the middle east, etc. The '39 market might bottom out again in 2007, but I wouldn't expect it to stay there past November 2007.
You're old enough to remember that 150/M (15 cents per round in bulk) is a little less that what 7.62x39 sold for when it first hit our shores around 1984-85. It was Chinese but came in green lacquer painted cases. I think I still have a sample round somewhere.
One point to remember is with all the AKs and SKSs in the US, 7.62x39 is here to stay for good. The only variable is how much it will cost.
Quote:
Originally Posted by aubie515
I can see me getting stuck with a bunch of ammo that I don't need because people couldn't honor their word.
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Not if they pre-pay with cash. If they don't pony up, get cold feet or the S.O. redirects the funds, you aren't out a thing. Might need to start small, it's asking a lot to solicit hundreds of dollars from someone you've never met before.
Quote:
Originally Posted by aubie515
If you didn't load up a couple of years ago, you are screwed.
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I did (in a big way, when it was $70/M and on stripper clips, I'm still using it). However, with a fixed pool of ammunition and steady use, it's only a question of time. I'm not about to stop shooting, or run low.
We need to remain familiar with shooting, which means we all need a steady supply of ammunition regardless of our present stores. The only exception I can think of is someone phasing out a particular ammunition size who elects to shoot up all their remaining stores, or someone getting out of shooting entirely.